Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 44.736226 51.431359 58.401739 66.168773 74.550790 83.294759 93.076622
2024-10-20 33.976362 43.243719 53.468327 65.453230 78.988822 93.684497 110.729482
2024-10-27 26.858113 37.175609 49.097665 63.615065 80.553333 99.453781 121.904601
2024-11-03 23.892904 35.361149 49.097375 66.304048 86.853426 110.223371 138.434663
2024-11-10 21.127502 33.353798 48.501574 67.970161 91.703406 119.139473 152.713263
2024-11-17 17.736324 30.107912 46.014611 67.021283 93.175754 123.911989 162.033115
2024-11-24 14.901823 27.246749 43.716565 66.041105 94.389206 128.207251 170.659767
2024-12-01 12.918110 25.324316 42.444400 66.190039 96.857685 133.909119 180.889359
2024-12-08 11.236485 23.632882 41.317551 66.389170 99.283615 139.488461 190.930906
2024-12-15 9.920849 22.334994 40.609157 67.040349 102.211167 145.639462 201.646513
2024-12-22 8.357876 20.436474 38.887779 66.193124 103.105145 149.199194 209.157398
2024-12-29 7.509565 19.621344 38.666968 67.344971 106.569657 155.956951 220.600562
2025-01-05 6.762103 18.908155 38.567784 68.673498 110.314656 163.154085 232.721090
2025-01-12 5.647611 17.359544 37.073891 67.939418 111.252210 166.759747 240.379301
2025-01-19 4.470042 15.469240 34.878982 66.057948 110.531825 168.160388 245.216266
2025-01-26 4.259449 15.535374 35.841126 68.810440 116.154131 177.776401 260.441587
2025-02-02 3.892257 15.204811 36.111698 70.515442 120.330571 185.527277 273.337288
2025-02-09 3.161580 13.909655 34.654700 69.544463 120.737680 188.323313 279.923022
2025-02-16 2.531608 12.696050 33.231856 68.541331 121.036985 190.935461 286.248284
2025-02-23 2.126216 11.954805 32.584643 68.693761 122.940872 195.655085 295.277438
2025-03-02 1.778404 11.276966 31.995792 68.897562 124.893623 200.430277 304.383155
2025-03-09 1.518200 10.784843 31.713613 69.563974 127.499688 206.079743 314.633952
2025-03-16 1.166112 9.861345 30.520482 68.696919 127.837713 208.653635 320.877875